CommencerCommencer gratuitement

Predicting returns

In the previous exercises, we have assumed a constant mean by setting

garchspec <- ugarchspec(mean.model = list(armaOrder = c(0,0)),
                        variance.model = list(model = "gjrGARCH"),
                        distribution.model = "sstd")

In practice the predicted return \(\mu_t\) is often time-varying. To capture this time-variation, one can use a GARCH-in-mean, AR(1), MA(1), ARMA(1,1) model, among others.

These models are implemented in rugarch and can be specified by changing the arguments for mean.model.


Which of the following statements is incorrect?

Cet exercice fait partie du cours

GARCH Models in R

Afficher le cours

Exercice interactif pratique

Passez de la théorie à la pratique avec l’un de nos exercices interactifs

Commencer l’exercice