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Monte Carlo VaR

Both the return values and the Monte-Carlo paths can be used for analysis of everything ranging from option pricing models and hedging to portfolio optimization and trading strategies.

Aggregate the returns data at each iteration, and use the resulting values to forecast parametric VaR(99).

The parameters mu, vol, T, and S0 are available from the previous exercise.

Cet exercice fait partie du cours

Introduction to Portfolio Risk Management in Python

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Instructions

  • Use the .append() method to append the rand_rets to sim_returns list in each iteration.
  • Calculate the parametric VaR(99) using the np.percentile() function on sim_returns.

Exercice interactif pratique

Essayez cet exercice en complétant cet exemple de code.

# Aggregate the returns
sim_returns = []

# Loop through 100 simulations
for i in range(100):

    # Generate the Random Walk
    rand_rets = np.random.normal(mu, vol, T)
    
    # Save the results
    sim_returns.____

# Calculate the VaR(99)
var_99 = ____
print("Parametric VaR(99): ", round(100*var_99, 2),"%")
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