Predicting returns
In the previous exercises, we have assumed a constant mean by setting
garchspec <- ugarchspec(mean.model = list(armaOrder = c(0,0)),
variance.model = list(model = "gjrGARCH"),
distribution.model = "sstd")
In practice the predicted return \(\mu_t\) is often time-varying. To capture this time-variation, one can use a GARCH-in-mean, AR(1), MA(1), ARMA(1,1) model, among others.
These models are implemented in rugarch and can be specified by changing the arguments for mean.model.
Which of the following statements is incorrect?
Este exercício faz parte do curso
GARCH Models in R
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