Addestramento del modello

Ora stimerai un modello di risposta logistica su train.data. Userai quindi le variabili predittive rimaste dopo la selezione del modello per spiegare le probabilità di acquisto per HOPPINESS. Esaminerai train.model e confronterai i risultati con quelli del precedente extended.model utilizzando la funzione margins().

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Creare modelli di risposta in R

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Istruzioni dell'esercizio

Stima un modello di risposta logistica su train.data. Spiega HOPPINESS con price.ratio, FEAT.HOP e FEATDISPL.HOP. Usa la funzione glm() con l'argomento family impostato a binomial e assegna il risultato a un oggetto chiamato train.model.
Esamina l'oggetto train.model usando la funzione margins().
Esamina l'oggetto extended.model usando la funzione margins().

Esercizio pratico interattivo

Prova a risolvere questo esercizio completando il codice di esempio.

# Fit the logistic response model to train.data
___ <- glm(___, family = binomial, data = ___)

# Investigate the train.model
___

# Investigate the extended.model
___

Modifica ed esegui il codice

Questo esercizio fa parte del corso

Creare modelli di risposta in R

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The first chapter introduces you to the basic principles and concepts of market response models. Here, you will learn how to build simple response models for product sales. In addition, you will learn about the theoretical and practical differences between linear and non-linear models for sales responses.

Exercise 1: Fundamentals of market response models Exercise 2: Retail sales Exercise 3: Understanding sales Exercise 4: Linear response models Exercise 5: A linear response model for sales Exercise 6: Making predictions Exercise 7: Predictive performance Exercise 8: Nonlinear response models Exercise 9: Linearizing nonlinear functions Exercise 10: What 's the value added?

An effective marketing strategy combines all the tools available to communicate the benefits of a product. The key is crafting the right mix of these tools to achieve sales increases and market share goals. In the second chapter, you will learn how to incorporate the effects of advertising and promotion in your sales-response model and how to identify the marketing strategy that is most likely to succeed.

Exercise 1: Model extension part 1: Dummy variables Exercise 2: Understanding dummy variables Exercise 3: The effect of display on sales Exercise 4: The effect of multiple dummies on sales Exercise 5: What about price?Exercise 6: Model extensions part 2: Dynamic variables Exercise 7: How to lag?Exercise 8: Adding lagged price effects Exercise 9: More lags Exercise 10: What's the value added?Exercise 11: How many extensions are needed?Exercise 12: Summarizing the model Exercise 13: Unnecessary predictors Exercise 14: Dropping predictors Exercise 15: Eliminating predictors

A company can only be successful in the market if its products have a competitive advantage over those of its rivals. To develop an effective marketing strategy in a competitive environment, it is essential to understand the interrelationship between marketing activity and customer behavior. In this chapter, you will learn how to explain the effects of temporary price changes on customer brand choice by employing logistic and probit response models.

Exercise 1: Models for individual demand Exercise 2: Customer purchases Exercise 3: Summarizing the data Exercise 4: Competition Exercise 5: A linear probability model for beer demand Exercise 6: Logistic response models Exercise 7: A logistic model for beer demand Exercise 8: Bounded predictions Exercise 9: Average marginal effects Exercise 10: Effect plots Exercise 11: Probit response models Exercise 12: A probit model for beer demand Exercise 13: Logistic vs. probit Exercise 14: Model comparison

The main goal of response modeling is to enable marketers to not only see a payoff for their actions today, but also tomorrow. In order to view this future payoff, a simple but reliable statistical model is required. In this last chapter, you will learn how to evaluate the predictive performance of logistic response models.

Exercise 1: Selezione del modello Exercise 2: Ampliare il modello di risposta logistica Exercise 3: Riepilogare il modello Exercise 4: Il principio della devianza Exercise 5: Eliminare i predittori Exercise 6: Prestazioni predittive Exercise 7: Classificazioni Exercise 8: Confusione del modello Exercise 9: Curve ROC Exercise 10: Validazione del modello Exercise 11: Sottoinsiemi Exercise 12: Addestramento del modello

Esercizio in corso

Exercise 13: Test fuori campione Exercise 14: Tiriamo le somme