Nihai Değerin Hesaplanması

Bir firmanın ömrünün sonsuz olduğu varsayılır; bu nedenle FCFE projeksiyonumuz sadece beş yıl sürse de, 5. yıldan sonrasındaki FCFE değerini tahmin etmemizi sağlayacak bir yönteme ihtiyaç duyarız. 6. yıldan sonsuza kadar olan FCFE’nin değeri “Nihai Değer” (Terminal Value) olarak adlandırılır ve videoda tartıştığımız yaygın bir tahmin yöntemi Büyümeli Sonsuzluk Modeli’dir. Nihai Değer hesaplamasının başlangıç noktası 2021 FCFE projeksiyonudur. Büyüme oranı (g) %3,4, özkaynak maliyeti (ke) %10,5 ve önceki egzersizden 2021’e ait FCFE (fcfe_2021) bellekte tutuluyor.

Bu egzersiz

R ile Hisse Değerleme

kursunun bir parçasıdır

Kursu Görüntüle

Egzersiz talimatları

Nihai değeri 2021 itibarıyla hesapla.

Uygulamalı interaktif egzersiz

Bu örnek kodu tamamlayarak bu egzersizi bitirin.

# Calculate the terminal value as of 2021
tv_2021 <- ___
tv_2021

Kodu Düzenle ve Çalıştır

Bu egzersiz

R ile Hisse Değerleme

kursunun bir parçasıdır

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Kursa Ücretsiz Başlayın

Many individuals and institutions invest in equities. To do so effectively, the investor must have a solid understanding of how the value of the equity compares to the stock price. In this course, we focus on fundamental concepts of equity valuation. We begin with a discussion of time value of money and then move on to the first of two discounted cash flow methods we will discuss - the free cash flow to equity valuation model.

Exercise 1: Kursa Giriş ve Temel Değerleme Exercise 2: Paranın Zaman Değeri Exercise 3: İşletme ve Özsermaye Nakit Akışlarını Değerlemenin Farkı Exercise 4: Özkaynağa Serbest Nakit Akışı Modeli Exercise 5: Faaliyet Kârını Hesaplama Exercise 6: Özkaynağa Serbest Nakit Akışını Hesapla Exercise 7: Nihai Değerin Hesaplanması

Geçerli Egzersiz

Exercise 8: Özkaynak Değerini Hesaplama Exercise 9: Özkaynağa Serbest Nakit Akışının Bugünkü Değerini Hesaplama Exercise 10: Son Değerin Bugünkü Değerini Hesapla Exercise 11: Özsermaye Değerini Hesapla

One of the critical components of free cash flow to equity valuation is using reliable projections. In the first part of this chapter, we will discuss ways to analyze the projections to help us identify the right questions to ask. In the second part of this chapter, we will go through the second of our discounted cash flow models - the dividend discount model. In this approach, we discount expected dividends instead of free cash flows.

Exercise 1: Analyzing the Projections Exercise 2: Analyze Revenue Trends - Bar Chart Exercise 3: Analyze Revenue Trends - Regression Exercise 4: Perpetuity Growth Rate Exercise 5: Calculate Retention Ratio Exercise 6: Perpetuity Growth Rate Calculation Exercise 7: Dividend Discount Model Exercise 8: Valuing Preferred Stock Exercise 9: Valuation Assuming No Dividends For First Few Years Exercise 10: Valuation Assuming 2-Stages of Dividends

To be able to discount cash flows, we need a discount rate. For the free cash flow to equity and dividend discount model, the cost of equity is the appropriate discount rate. In this chapter, we will discuss how each of the components of the cost of equity are calculated.

Exercise 1: What is a discount rate?Exercise 2: Risk and Return Exercise 3: Calculating Returns Exercise 4: Estimating Beta Exercise 5: Unlevering Betas Exercise 6: Hamada vs. Fernandez Formula Exercise 7: Beta Unlevering Exercise Exercise 8: Beta Relevering Exercise Exercise 9: Risk-Free Rate and Equity Risk Premium Exercise 10: Obtain Risk-Free Rate Data Exercise 11: Calculate Historical Equity Risk Premium Exercise 12: Calculate the Cost of Equity

Relative valuation allows us to use the valuation of comparable companies to infer the value of our subject firm. In this chapter, we discuss how to identify comparable companies and how to calculate valuation multiples. We also show how to analyze the determinants of multiples.

Exercise 1: Relative Valuation Exercise 2: Identifying Comparable Firms Exercise 3: Valuation Multiples Exercise 4: Calculating Valuation Multiples Exercise 5: Calculating the Relevant Multiple Exercise 6: Implied Price Exercise 7: Analyzing Determinants of Multiples Exercise 8: Calculate ROE and P/B Exercise 9: Plot P/B vs. ROE Exercise 10: Strength of Relationship Exercise 11: Implied Price Using Regression Exercise 12: Difference in Implied Values

This chapter combines the lessons from Chapters 1 to 4 in a series of exercises. You will be asked to inspect the data and to value the firm using discounted cash flow and relative valuation approaches. At the end, you will combine the results in a summary table.

Exercise 1: Fundamental Valuation: Analyzing Projections Exercise 2: Visually Inspecting the Data Exercise 3: Using Regression to Test the Projections Exercise 4: Fundamental Valuation: Implementation Exercise 5: Cost of Equity Exercise 6: Calculate Value During Projection Period Exercise 7: Calculate the Terminal Value Exercise 8: Equity Value Per Free Cash Flow to Equity Model Exercise 9: Equity Value per Dividend Discount Model Exercise 10: Relative Valuation Exercise 11: Equity Value Per Price-to-Earnings Multiples Exercise 12: Combine valuation into a summary table Exercise 13: Congratulations!