Zombie drugs with prop_model
If we really were interested in the underlying proportion of heads of this coin then prop_model
isn't particularly useful. Since it assumes that any underlying proportion of success is equally likely prior to seeing any data it will take a lot of coin flipping to convince prop_model
that the coin is fair. This model is more appropriate in a situation where we have little background knowledge about the underlying proportion of success.
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Fundamentals of Bayesian Data Analysis in R
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# Update the data and rerun prop_model
data = c(1, 0, 0, 1)
prop_model(data)