Certainty and uncertainty
To complete your simulated stock prices model, you will add stock prices and an expected "certain" stock price. The stock price is based on a random estimate of volatility, while the certainty column is estimated based on expected compounded rate of return (k).
You will use the formula: =Previous Row Stock Price*exp(k*1/252+Volatility*Random Estimate*sqrt(1/252))
to estimate the second day of the random stock prices in column B
, and the formula: =Previous Row Certainty*exp(k*1/252)
to estimate the second day of certain stocks in column C
.
This exercise is part of the course
Financial Modeling in Google Sheets
Exercise instructions
- In
B9
andC9
, use a cell reference the starting stock price inB3
. - Using the formula described above, fill in the the simulated stock price in
B10
and the certain stock price inC10
. - Copy the formulas from row
10
through row159
.
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