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Fitting an AR(2) model

For this exercise, we generated data from the AR(2) model, $$X_t = 1.5 X_{t-1} - .75 X_{t-2} + W_t,$$ using x <- arima.sim(model = list(order = c(2, 0, 0), ar = c(1.5, -.75)), n = 200). Look at the simulated data and the sample ACF and PACF pair to determine the model order. Then fit the model and compare the estimated parameters to the true parameters.

This is a part of the course

“ARIMA Models in R”

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Exercise instructions

  • The package astsa is preloaded. x contains the 200 AR(2) observations.
  • Use plot() to plot the generated data in x.
  • Plot the sample ACF and PACF pair using acf2() from the astsa package.
  • Use sarima() to fit an AR(2) to the previously generated data in x. Examine the t-table and compare the estimates to the true values.

Hands-on interactive exercise

Have a go at this exercise by completing this sample code.

# astsa is preloaded

# Plot x


# Plot the sample P/ACF of x


# Fit an AR(2) to the data and examine the t-table

Edit and Run Code

This exercise is part of the course

ARIMA Models in R

IntermediateSkill Level
4.6+
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Become an expert in fitting ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) models to time series data using R.

You will discover the wonderful world of ARMA models and how to fit these models to time series data. You will learn how to identify a model, how to choose the correct model, and how to verify a model once you fit it to data. You will learn how to use R time series commands from the stats and astsa packages.

Exercise 1: AR and MA modelsExercise 2: Fitting an AR(1) modelExercise 3: Fitting an AR(2) model
Exercise 4: Fitting an MA(1) modelExercise 5: AR and MA togetherExercise 6: Fitting an ARMA modelExercise 7: Identify an ARMA modelExercise 8: Model choice and residual analysisExercise 9: Model choice - IExercise 10: Model choice - IIExercise 11: Residual analysis - IExercise 12: Residual analysis - IIExercise 13: ARMA get in

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