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What are the chances of a horse matching or beating Secretariat's record?

Assume that the Belmont winners' times are Normally distributed (with the 1970 and 1973 years removed), what is the probability that the winner of a given Belmont Stakes will run it as fast or faster than Secretariat?

This exercise is part of the course

Statistical Thinking in Python (Part 1)

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Exercise instructions

  • Take 1,000,000 samples from the normal distribution using the rng.normal() function. The mean mu and standard deviation sigma are already loaded into the namespace of your IPython instance.
  • Compute the fraction of samples that have a time less than or equal to Secretariat's time of 144 seconds.
  • Print the result.

Hands-on interactive exercise

Have a go at this exercise by completing this sample code.

# Take a million samples out of the Normal distribution: samples


# Compute the fraction that are faster than 144 seconds: prob


# Print the result
print('Probability of besting Secretariat:', prob)
Edit and Run Code