What are the chances of a horse matching or beating Secretariat's record?
Assume that the Belmont winners' times are Normally distributed (with the 1970 and 1973 years removed), what is the probability that the winner of a given Belmont Stakes will run it as fast or faster than Secretariat?
This exercise is part of the course
Statistical Thinking in Python (Part 1)
Exercise instructions
- Take 1,000,000 samples from the normal distribution using the
rng.normal()
function. The meanmu
and standard deviationsigma
are already loaded into the namespace of your IPython instance. - Compute the fraction of samples that have a time less than or equal to Secretariat's time of 144 seconds.
- Print the result.
Hands-on interactive exercise
Have a go at this exercise by completing this sample code.
# Take a million samples out of the Normal distribution: samples
# Compute the fraction that are faster than 144 seconds: prob
# Print the result
print('Probability of besting Secretariat:', prob)