Menguji sebuah model

Mari kita lihat model unemployment_model yang baru saja Anda buat. Ada beragam cara untuk meninjau sebuah model; tiap cara memberikan informasi yang berbeda. Kita akan menggunakan summary() (docs), broom::glance() (docs), dan sigr::wrapFTest() (docs).

Paket broom dan sigr sudah dimuat, dan unemployment_model tersedia untuk Anda.

Latihan ini adalah bagian dari kursus

Supervised Learning di R: Regresi

Petunjuk latihan

Cetak kembali unemployment_model. Informasi apa yang ditampilkan?
Panggil summary() pada unemployment_model. Selain nilai koefisien, Anda juga memperoleh galat baku untuk estimasi koefisien, serta beberapa metrik kecocokan seperti R-squared.
Panggil glance() pada model untuk melihat metrik kinerja dalam data frame yang tertata rapi. Dapatkah Anda mencocokkan informasi dari summary() dengan kolom-kolom di glance()?
Sekarang panggil wrapFTest() pada model untuk melihat R-squared lagi.

Latihan interaktif praktis

Cobalah latihan ini dengan menyelesaikan kode contoh berikut.

# Print unemployment_model
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# Call summary() on unemployment_model to get more details
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# Call glance() on unemployment_model to see the details in a tidier form
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# Call wrapFTest() on unemployment_model to see the most relevant details
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Edit dan Jalankan Kode

Latihan ini adalah bagian dari kursus

Supervised Learning di R: Regresi

SkillTag.level.intermediateSkillTag.label

4.6+

Mulai Kursus Gratis

In this chapter we introduce the concept of regression from a machine learning point of view. We will present the fundamental regression method: linear regression. We will show how to fit a linear regression model and to make predictions from the model.

Exercise 1: Selamat Datang dan Pengantar Exercise 2: Identifikasi tugas regresi Exercise 3: Regresi linear - metode fundamental Exercise 4: Tulis kode regresi sederhana satu variabel Exercise 5: Menguji sebuah model

Latihan Saat Ini

Exercise 6: Memprediksi setelah Anda memasang model Exercise 7: Memprediksi dari model pengangguran Exercise 8: Regresi linear multivariat (Bagian 1)Exercise 9: Regresi linear multivariat (Bagian 2)Exercise 10: Merangkum regresi linear

Now that we have learned how to fit basic linear regression models, we will learn how to evaluate how well our models perform. We will review evaluating a model graphically, and look at two basic metrics for regression models. We will also learn how to train a model that will perform well in the wild, not just on training data. Although we will demonstrate these techniques using linear regression, all these concepts apply to models fit with any regression algorithm.

Exercise 1: Evaluating a model graphically Exercise 2: Graphically evaluate the unemployment model Exercise 3: The gain curve to evaluate the unemployment model Exercise 4: Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE)Exercise 5: Calculate RMSE Exercise 6: R-squared Exercise 7: Calculate R-squared Exercise 8: Correlation and R-squared Exercise 9: Properly Training a Model Exercise 10: Generating a random test/train split Exercise 11: Train a model using test/train split Exercise 12: Evaluate a model using test/train split Exercise 13: Create a cross validation plan Exercise 14: Evaluate a modeling procedure using n-fold cross-validation

Before moving on to more sophisticated regression techniques, we will look at some other modeling issues: modeling with categorical inputs, interactions between variables, and when you might consider transforming inputs and outputs before modeling. While more sophisticated regression techniques manage some of these issues automatically, it's important to be aware of them, in order to understand which methods best handle various issues -- and which issues you must still manage yourself.

Exercise 1: Categorical inputs Exercise 2: Examining the structure of categorical inputs Exercise 3: Modeling with categorical inputs Exercise 4: Interactions Exercise 5: Modeling an interaction Exercise 6: Modeling an interaction (2)Exercise 7: Transforming the response before modeling Exercise 8: Relative error Exercise 9: Modeling log-transformed monetary output Exercise 10: Comparing RMSE and root-mean-squared Relative Error Exercise 11: Transforming inputs before modeling Exercise 12: Input transforms: the "hockey stick"Exercise 13: Input transforms: the "hockey stick" (2)

Now that we have mastered linear models, we will begin to look at techniques for modeling situations that don't meet the assumptions of linearity. This includes predicting probabilities and frequencies (values bounded between 0 and 1); predicting counts (nonnegative integer values, and associated rates); and responses that have a non-linear but additive relationship to the inputs. These algorithms are variations on the standard linear model.

Exercise 1: Logistic regression to predict probabilities Exercise 2: Fit a model of sparrow survival probability Exercise 3: Predict sparrow survival Exercise 4: Poisson and quasipoisson regression to predict counts Exercise 5: Poisson or quasipoisson Exercise 6: Fit a model to predict bike rental counts Exercise 7: Predict bike rentals on new data Exercise 8: Visualize the bike rental predictions Exercise 9: GAM to learn non-linear transforms Exercise 10: Writing formulas for GAM models Exercise 11: Writing formulas for GAM models (2)Exercise 12: Model soybean growth with GAM Exercise 13: Predict with the soybean model on test data

In this chapter we will look at modeling algorithms that do not assume linearity or additivity, and that can learn limited types of interactions among input variables. These algorithms are *tree-based* methods that work by combining ensembles of *decision trees* that are learned from the training data.

Exercise 1: The intuition behind tree-based methods Exercise 2: Predicting with a decision tree Exercise 3: Random forests Exercise 4: Build a random forest model for bike rentals Exercise 5: Predict bike rentals with the random forest model Exercise 6: Visualize random forest bike model predictions Exercise 7: One-Hot-Encoding Categorical Variables Exercise 8: vtreat on a small example Exercise 9: Novel levels Exercise 10: vtreat the bike rental data Exercise 11: Gradient boosting machines Exercise 12: Find the right number of trees for a gradient boosting machine Exercise 13: Fit an xgboost bike rental model and predict Exercise 14: Evaluate the xgboost bike rental model Exercise 15: Visualize the xgboost bike rental model