Memprediksi tingkat vonis pencurian dengan pembobolan

Ada banyak situasi yang dapat dimodelkan dengan hanya dua hasil: sukses atau gagal. Latihan ini menyajikan situasi yang dapat dimodelkan dengan distribusi binomial dan memberi Anda kesempatan untuk menghitung probabilitas menggunakan binom.pmf(), binom.cdf(), dan binom.sf().

Objek binom dari scipy.stats telah dimuat untuk kenyamanan Anda.

Bayangkan di kota Anda terdapat banyak kejahatan, termasuk pembobolan, tetapi hanya 20% yang berhasil diungkap. Minggu lalu, ada 9 kasus pembobolan. Jawablah pertanyaan berikut.

Latihan ini adalah bagian dari kursus

Dasar-Dasar Probabilitas di Python

Latihan interaktif praktis

Cobalah latihan ini dengan menyelesaikan kode contoh berikut.

# What is the probability of solving 4 burglaries?
four_solved = binom.____(k=____, n=____, p=____)
print(four_solved)

Edit dan Jalankan Kode

Latihan ini adalah bagian dari kursus

Dasar-Dasar Probabilitas di Python

SkillTag.level.intermediateSkillTag.label

4.8+

Mulai Kursus Gratis

A coin flip is the classic example of a random experiment. The possible outcomes are heads or tails. This type of experiment, known as a Bernoulli or binomial trial, allows us to study problems with two possible outcomes, like “yes” or “no” and “vote” or “no vote.” This chapter introduces Bernoulli experiments, binomial distributions to model multiple Bernoulli trials, and probability simulations with the scipy library.

Exercise 1: Mari melempar koin dengan Python Exercise 2: Melempar koin Exercise 3: Menggunakan binom untuk melempar koin lebih banyak lagi Exercise 4: Fungsi massa peluang dan fungsi distribusi Exercise 5: Memprediksi probabilitas cacat Exercise 6: Memprediksi status pekerjaan Exercise 7: Memprediksi tingkat vonis pencurian dengan pembobolan

Latihan Saat Ini

Exercise 8: Nilai harapan, mean, dan varians Exercise 9: Menghitung nilai harapan dan varians Exercise 10: Menghitung mean sampel Exercise 11: Memeriksa hasil Exercise 12: Menghitung mean dan varians dari sebuah sampel

In this chapter you'll learn to calculate various kinds of probabilities, such as the probability of the intersection of two events and the sum of probabilities of two events, and to simulate those situations. You'll also learn about conditional probability and how to apply Bayes' rule.

Exercise 1: Calculating probabilities of two events Exercise 2: Any overlap?Exercise 3: Measuring a sample Exercise 4: Joint probabilities Exercise 5: Deck of cards Exercise 6: Conditional probabilities Exercise 7: Delayed flights Exercise 8: Contingency table Exercise 9: More cards Exercise 10: Total probability law Exercise 11: Formula 1 engines Exercise 12: Voters Exercise 13: Bayes' rule Exercise 14: Conditioning Exercise 15: Factories and parts Exercise 16: Swine flu blood test

Until now we've been working with binomial distributions, but there are many probability distributions a random variable can take. In this chapter we'll introduce three more that are related to the binomial distribution: the normal, Poisson, and geometric distributions.

Exercise 1: Normal distributions Exercise 2: Range of values Exercise 3: Plotting normal distributions Exercise 4: Within three standard deviations Exercise 5: Normal probabilities Exercise 6: Restaurant spending example Exercise 7: Smartphone battery example Exercise 8: Adults' heights example Exercise 9: Poisson distributions Exercise 10: ATM example Exercise 11: Highway accidents example Exercise 12: Generating and plotting Poisson distributions Exercise 13: Geometric distributions Exercise 14: Catching salmon example Exercise 15: Free throws example Exercise 16: Generating and plotting geometric distributions

No that you know how to calculate probabilities and important properties of probability distributions, we'll introduce two important results: the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem. This will expand your understanding on how the sample mean converges to the population mean as more data is available and how the sum of random variables behaves under certain conditions. We will also explore connections between linear and logistic regressions as applications of probability and statistics in data science.

Exercise 1: From sample mean to population mean Exercise 2: Generating a sample Exercise 3: Calculating the sample mean Exercise 4: Plotting the sample mean Exercise 5: Adding random variables Exercise 6: Sample means Exercise 7: Sample means follow a normal distribution Exercise 8: Adding dice rolls Exercise 9: Linear regression Exercise 10: Fitting a model Exercise 11: Predicting test scores Exercise 12: Studying residuals Exercise 13: Logistic regression Exercise 14: Fitting a logistic model Exercise 15: Predicting if students will pass Exercise 16: Passing two tests Exercise 17: Wrapping up