Intuisi di balik signifikansi statistik

Dalam latihan ini, Anda akan membangun pemahaman intuitif tentang signifikansi statistik. Anda akan melakukannya dengan menggunakan fungsi get_pvalue() pada berbagai set parameter yang wajar muncul atau dipilih selama pelaksanaan A/B test. Saat melakukannya, perhatikan bagaimana hasil signifikansi statistik berubah ketika Anda mengubah parameter. Ini akan membantu membangun intuisi Anda terkait konsep ini, serta menyingkap beberapa jebakan halus dari p-value. Sebagai pengingat, berikut adalah tanda tangan fungsi get_pvalue():

def get_pvalue(con_conv, test_conv, con_size, test_size):  
    lift =  - abs(test_conv - con_conv)

    scale_one = con_conv * (1 - con_conv) * (1 / con_size)
    scale_two = test_conv * (1 - test_conv) * (1 / test_size)
    scale_val = (scale_one + scale_two)**0.5

    p_value = 2 * stats.norm.cdf(lift, loc = 0, scale = scale_val )

    return p_value

Latihan ini adalah bagian dari kursus

Analitik Pelanggan dan A/B Testing dengan Python

Latihan interaktif praktis

Cobalah latihan ini dengan menyelesaikan kode contoh berikut.

# Get the p-value
p_value = get_pvalue(con_conv=____, test_conv=____, con_size=____, test_size=____)
print(p_value)

Edit dan Jalankan Kode

Latihan ini adalah bagian dari kursus

Analitik Pelanggan dan A/B Testing dengan Python

SkillTag.level.intermediateSkillTag.label

4.8+

Mulai Kursus Gratis

This chapter provides a brief introduction to the content that will be covered throughout the course before transitioning into a discussion of Key Performance Indicators or KPIs. You'll learn how to identify and define meaningful KPIs through a combination of critical thinking and leveraging Python tools. These techniques are all presented in a highly practical and generalizable way. Ultimately these topics serve as the core foundation for the A/B testing discussion that follows.

Exercise 1: Course introduction and overview Exercise 2: Understanding the key components of an A/B test Exercise 3: Defining meaningful KPIs Exercise 4: Identifying and understanding KPIs Exercise 5: Loading & examining our data Exercise 6: Merging on different sets of fields Exercise 7: Exploratory analysis of KPIs Exercise 8: Practicing aggregations Exercise 9: Grouping & aggregating Exercise 10: Calculating KPIs - a practical example Exercise 11: Calculating KPIs Exercise 12: Average purchase price by cohort

This chapter teaches you how to visualize, manipulate, and explore KPIs as they change over time. Through a variety of examples, you'll learn how to work with datetime objects to calculate metrics per unit time. Then we move to the techniques for how to graph different segments of data, and apply various smoothing functions to reveal hidden trends. Finally we walk through a complete example of how to pinpoint issues through exploratory data analysis of customer data. Throughout this chapter various functions are introduced and explained in a highly generalizable way.

Exercise 1: Working with time series data in pandas Exercise 2: Parsing dates Exercise 3: Creating time series graphs with Matplotlib Exercise 4: Plotting time series data Exercise 5: Pivoting our data Exercise 6: Examining the different cohorts Exercise 7: Understanding and visualizing trends Exercise 8: Seasonality and moving averages Exercise 9: Exponential rolling average & over/under smoothing Exercise 10: Events and releases Exercise 11: Visualizing user spending Exercise 12: Looking more closely at revenue

In this chapter you will dive fully into A/B testing. You will learn the mathematics and knowledge needed to design and successfully plan an A/B test from determining an experimental unit to finding how large a sample size is needed. Accompanying this will be an introduction to the functions and code needed to calculate the various quantities associated with a statistical test of this type.

Exercise 1: Introduction to A/B testing Exercise 2: Good applications of A/B testing Exercise 3: General properties of an A/B Test Exercise 4: A/B test generalizability Exercise 5: Initial A/B test design Exercise 6: Experimental units: Revenue per user day Exercise 7: Preparing to run an A/B test Exercise 8: Conversion rate sensitivities Exercise 9: Sensitivity Exercise 10: Standard error Exercise 11: Calculating sample size Exercise 12: Exploring the power calculation Exercise 13: Calculating the sample size

After running an A/B test, you must analyze the data and then effectively communicate the results. This chapter begins by interleaving the theory of statistical significance and confidence intervals with the tools you need to calculate them yourself from the data. Next we discuss how to effectively visualize and communicate these results. This chapter is the culmination of all the knowledge built over the entire course.

Exercise 1: Menganalisis hasil uji A/B Exercise 2: Mengonfirmasi hasil pengujian kita Exercise 3: Berpikir kritis tentang p-value Exercise 4: Memahami signifikansi statistik Exercise 5: Intuisi di balik signifikansi statistik

Latihan Saat Ini

Exercise 6: Memeriksa signifikansi statistik Exercise 7: Memahami interval kepercayaan Exercise 8: Menghitung interval kepercayaan Exercise 9: Menafsirkan hasil pengujian Anda Exercise 10: Memplot distribusi Exercise 11: Memplot sebaran selisih Exercise 12: Finale