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  3. Introduction to Regression with statsmodels in Python
  • 1

    Simple Linear Regression Modeling

    Free

    You’ll learn the basics of this popular statistical model, what regression is, and how linear and logistic regressions differ. You’ll then learn how to fit simple linear regression models with numeric and categorical explanatory variables, and how to describe the relationship between the response and explanatory variables using model coefficients.

  • 2

    Predictions and model objects

    In this chapter, you’ll discover how to use linear regression models to make predictions on Taiwanese house prices and Facebook advert clicks. You’ll also grow your regression skills as you get hands-on with model objects, understand the concept of "regression to the mean", and learn how to transform variables in a dataset.

  • 3

    Assessing model fit

    In this chapter, you’ll learn how to ask questions of your model to assess fit. You’ll learn how to quantify how well a linear regression model fits, diagnose model problems using visualizations, and understand each observation's leverage and influence to create the model.

  • 4

    Simple Logistic Regression Modeling

    Learn to fit logistic regression models. Using real-world data, you’ll predict the likelihood of a customer closing their bank account as probabilities of success and odds ratios, and quantify model performance using confusion matrices.

Initializing

Exercise

Probabilities

There are four main ways of expressing the prediction from a logistic regression model – we'll look at each of them over the next four exercises. Firstly, since the response variable is either "yes" or "no", you can make a prediction of the probability of a "yes". Here, you'll calculate and visualize these probabilities.

Two variables are available:

  • mdl_churn_vs_relationship is the fitted logistic regression model of has_churned versus time_since_first_purchase.
  • explanatory_data is a DataFrame of explanatory values.

Instructions 1/2

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  • Create a DataFrame, prediction_data, by assigning a column has_churned to explanatory_data.
  • In the has_churned column, store the predictions of the probability of churning: use the model, mdl_churn_vs_relationship, and the explanatory data, explanatory_data.
  • Print the first five lines of the prediction DataFrame.