Multiple chains
Trace plots help us diagnose the quality of a Markov chain simulation. A "good" Markov chain will exhibit stability as the chain length increases and consistency across repeated simulations, or multiple chains. You will use RJAGS
to run and construct trace plots for four parallel chains below. The defined sleep_model
is in your workspace.
This exercise is part of the course
Bayesian Modeling with RJAGS
Exercise instructions
Use
jags.model()
to COMPILEsleep_model
and initialize 4 parallel chains. Store the output in a jags object namedsleep_jags_multi
.SIMULATE a sample of 1,000 draws from the posterior model of
m
ands
. Store this mcmc.list insleep_sim_multi
.Check out the
head()
ofsleep_sim_multi
. Note the 4 list items containing the 4 parallel chains.Use
plot()
to construct trace plots for the multiple chains. Suppress the density plots.
Hands-on interactive exercise
Have a go at this exercise by completing this sample code.
# COMPILE the model
sleep_jags_multi <- jags.model(textConnection(sleep_model), data = list(Y = sleep_study$diff_3), ___)
# SIMULATE the posterior
sleep_sim_multi <- coda.samples(model = ___, variable.names = c("m", "s"), n.iter = ___)
# Check out the head of sleep_sim_multi
# Construct trace plots of the m and s chains