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Compute the 5% value-at-risk from the Gaussian model

Now that you have calibrated the Gaussian model on ABC historical returns, your next task is to estimate the 5% value-at-risk based on this model. This is the Gaussian value-at-risk because it relies on the Gaussian model calibrated on the past returns.

To find the Gaussian value-at-risk, use the function NORMINV(). This function requires three arguments:

  • The input to the inverse Gaussian distribution function, which in this case is 0.05 for 5%.
  • The mean of the calibrated Gaussian model.
  • The standard deviation of the calibrated Gaussian model.

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  • In H3, compute the 5% Gaussian value-at-risk using NORMINV().

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