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Exercise

Build a random forest model for bike rentals

In this exercise you will again build a model to predict the number of bikes rented in an hour as a function of the weather, the type of day (holiday, working day, or weekend), and the time of day. You will train the model on data from the month of July.

You will use the ranger package to fit the random forest model. For this exercise, the key arguments to the ranger() call are:

  • formula
  • data
  • num.trees: the number of trees in the forest.
  • respect.unordered.factors : Specifies how to treat unordered factor variables. We recommend setting this to "order" for regression.
  • seed: because this is a random algorithm, you will set the seed to get reproducible results

Since there are a lot of input variables, for convenience we will specify the outcome and the inputs in the variables outcome and vars, and use paste() to assemble a string representing the model formula.

Instructions
100 XP

The data frame bikesJuly is in the workspace. The sample code specifies the names of the outcome and input variables.

  • Fill in the blanks to create the formula fmla expressing cnt as a function of the inputs. Print it.
  • Load the package ranger.
  • Use ranger to fit a model to the bikesJuly data: bike_model_rf.
    • The first argument to ranger() is the formula, fmla.
    • Use 500 trees and respect.unordered.factors = "order".
    • Set the seed to seed for reproducible results.
    • Print the model. What is the R-squared?