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To survive or not to survive

Cynthia is 20 years old and joins the actuarial department of an insurance company for a summer internship. As a first challenge Cynthia’s supervisor asks her to compare the (expected) present values of a pure endowment on the one hand versus a guaranteed payment on the other hand.

In this chapter you will always work with the 1999 period life table for females in Belgium of which the one-year survival probabilities \(p_x\) have been preloaded as px. For this exercise you will consider a single payment of 10,000 EUR and a constant interest rate \(i = 2 \%\).

This exercise is part of the course

Life Insurance Products Valuation in R

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Exercise instructions

  • Compute the PV of a guaranteed payment of 10,000 EUR in 5 years from now at a rate of 2%.
  • Define kpx as the 5-year survival probability \(_5p_{20}\) of (20) by taking the product over the subset of px corresponding to ages 20 to 24.
  • Multiply PV with kpx to obtain the expected present value of a pure endowment of 10,000 EUR in 5 years from now for 20-year-old Cynthia.

Hands-on interactive exercise

Have a go at this exercise by completing this sample code.

# PV of guaranteed payment of 10,000 in 5 years
PV <- ___ * (___) ^ ___
PV

# 5 year survival probabilities of (20)
kpx <- ___(px[(___):(___)])

# EPV of pure endowment of 10,000 in 5 years for (20)
___
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