In the previous exercise you approximated the *likelihood function* shown below. The likelihood highlights the relative compatibility of different possible values of \(p\), your underlying election support, with the observed poll in which \(X = 6\) of \(n = 10\) voters supported you. Specifically, the height of the likelihood function at any given value of \(p\) reflects the relative plausibility of observing these particular polling data *if* your underlying support were equal to \(p\). Thus which of the following two scenarios is more compatible with the poll data?

- Scenario 1: your underlying support \(p\) is around 45%.
- Scenario 2: your underlying support \(p\) is around 55%.

50 XP

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